Dear ISIAM Members,
We are happy to release the first version of our “COVID-19: IISc Model”, which is based on a high-dimensional population balance equation. Unlike the existing (Compartment or Network) pandemic models, the proposed model predicts the distribution of infected population across the region, the age of the infected people, the day since infection, and the severity of infection, over a period of time. Moreover, the newly developed model incorporates the immunity, pre-medical history, effective treatment, point-to-point movement of infected population (e.g., by air, train etc), interactivity (community spread), hygiene and the social distancing of the population.
A scenario analysis (beta version) of COVID-19 pandemic in India using the proposed model can be found at https://cmg.cds.iisc.ac.in/covid/
We are pleased to announce that, by unanimous approval of the Executive Committee, Professor N.K. Gupta was chosen as the Interim President of ISIAM. We greatly appreciate his willingness to shoulder this responsibility at this critical time, following the unexpected passing away of Professor A.H. Siddiqi. Among other things, he will focus on establishing a more permanent leadership team of ISIAM as well as raising corpus funds for the Society. We are confident that you will provide your fullest support for Professor Gupta.
Prof Pammy Manchanda
Secretary – ISIAM
Professor Siddiqi received his PhD from AMU in 1967. After two years of post-doctoral work in Germany, he joined AMU as a faculty member where he rose to the rank of Professor and served as the chairman of the Department of Mathematics, Provost of the Hall of Residence, Member-in-Charge of the AMU Press, Dean of the Faculty of Science, Chief Election Officer of the AMU and AMU students’ union. He held visiting appointments in different parts of the world including USA, Canada, Germany, Iran, Algeria, Saudi Arabia, Oman and Malaysia. From December 1973 to August 1975 Siddiqi was a visiting professor at the University of Tabriz, Iran; from October 1980 to April 1983 at Constantine University, Algeria. From October 1998 to April 2007 he was employed as a Professor of Mathematics at the King Fahd University of Petroleum and Minerals, Saudi Arabia, and was also awarded DAAD fellowship at the Institute of Industrial and Business Mathematics, University of Kaiserslautern. He was a Senior Associate of the International Centre for Theoretical Physics (ICTP) in Trieste, Italy, and served the Gautam Buddha University from 2011 to 2013 towards whose development he contributed significantly.